Polls correctly predicted the outcome of elections September 10, the sociologists

© RIA Novosti / Evgeny to Betemporary in fotobanka of the CEC of Russia single day of votingPolls correctly predicted the outcome of elections September 10, the sociologists© RIA Novosti / Evgeny to Betemporary the image Bank

Sociologists of the all-Russia centre of studying of public opinion (VTSIOM) correctly predicted the results of the regional elections on 10 September, follows from poll VTSIOM, at the disposal of RIA Novosti.

In the centre recalled that three weeks before the election was made by electoral calculations of the voting results, they were published in early September.

The most accurate prediction of voting in Sevastopol. It is estimated that the acting Governor of the city Dmitry Ovsyannikov was to gain of 69.5%, according to preliminary data of the CEC, he scored a 71.1%. It was predicted that in the Kaliningrad region, acting head of the region Anton Alikhanov gain of 76.6% of the votes, the CEC reported to 81.1%.

It has been estimated that the acting Governor of the Kirov region, Igor Vasiliev was to gain was 58.3%, according to preliminary data of the CEC, he won with a score of 64%. It was expected that the elections in the Udmurt Republic, the Secretary of the Public chamber of Russia Alexander Brechalov gain of 71.8%, according to the CEC, he received 78.2% of the vote. The acting head of the Tomsk region Sergey Zhvachkin was to gain of 54.1%, the result was 60.6 percent of the vote.

According to electoral calculation, acting head of the Republic of Mordovia Vladimir Volkov had to 82.1% of the votes, according to the CEC voted for 89.2% of voters. In Mari El Republic, acting Governor Alexander Evstifeev was to gain 77.1 per cent, according to preliminary data, he won with 88.3% of the vote. Figure Dmitri Mironov on elections in the Yaroslavl region was 66.1%, according to the CEC, he was elected with a result of 79.3%. Nikolai Lyubimov at the elections in the Ryazan region according to the exit poll won with 74.5% of votes, preliminary data of the CEC of 80.2%.

«The gap between estimated data and actual results is explained by the intensity of the last phase of the campaign. Taking into account the specifics of the calendar campaign is the most intense and important was the last two weeks – end of August and beginning of September. Those were the days the final sprint, and bug fixes. VTSIOM conducted the poll in mid-August, and based on these data represented the electoral calculation. All candidates-winners were able to improve their electoral results. This certificate is proactive, rather than inertial strategy of their work», — commented the results of a survey practice leader for political analysis and consulting VTSIOM Mikhail Mamonov.

Sociologists conducted a survey 10-20 August 2017 in Kirov, Kaliningrad, Tomsk, Yaroslavl regions, the Republics of Mari El, Mordovia, Udmurtia, the city of Sevastopol. The sample size in each of the seven regions amounted to 1,600 people, in Sevastopol, the sample size is 1200 people. The size of the error does not exceed 3.5%. The exit poll was held in the Ryazan region on 10 September, polled 6.8 per thousand people.

Polls correctly predicted the outcome of elections September 10, the sociologists© RIA Novosti, Infografiken voting day in Russia

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