Experts differed in opinion about the refusal of the Communist party to participate in elections in Primorye

© RIA Novosti / Vitaly to Incomerate in fotoannunci rally in support of the candidate in governors of Primorski Krai from the Communist party Andrei Ishchenko at the building of the regional administration in Vladivostok. Archival photo<img src="/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2018/11/626b9cdb365a6249d05c08a93dcd080f.jpeg" alt="Experts differed in opinion about the refusal of the Communist party to participate in elections in Primorye" />© RIA Novosti / Vitaly to Uncovereth the image Bank

The decision of the regional branch of the Communist party not to nominate a candidate for election of the head of Primorye may say that the boundary cell to assess their capabilities, and the Central leadership of the party is thinking about personnel matters and received preferences in the future, it is not excluded that the increase in the chances of the acting Governor of the region Oleg Kozhemyako in the victory possible second round of elections, according to respondents RIA Novosti the scientists.

Earlier on Saturday, the regional branch of the Communist party at the party conference decided not to nominate a candidate for election of the Governor of Primorye. According to the Communist Andrey Ishchenko, due to the fact that the party does not recognize the cancellation of the results of the September elections. For such a decision in a regional cell voted 42 of 56 took part in the conference of party members.

A counter-movement at the top and bottom

Last week the electoral Commission began receiving documents for the nomination of candidates for participation in new elections of the head region, which will be held on December 16.

As told RIA Novosti political analyst Marat Bashirov, the decision by the party cell is more than just a relationship Ishchenko and regional branch of the Communist party.

«The Federal party leadership suddenly realized that it is necessary to conduct personnel policy. Previously, they believed that it was sufficient just to nominate someone… And now it was clear that the need to take responsibility for that choice. Because not the fact that in a year or two (if you win Ishchenko), the picture would be the same rainbow,» said the analyst.

According to him, also not the fact that she would go through the municipal filter, not getting signatures, even those MPs who previously supported him, what a Communist himself has stated.

«It was an oncoming «traffic» at the top and bottom, because such decision was made,» — said Bashirov.

The Communist party made the right choice

According to political scientist Andrei Kalyadina, from such decision of the Communist party will not suffer, and even get preferences.

«This electoral cycle the party has increased the number of its supporters in the regions is two to three times. Participating in new elections of the Governor of Primorye, the Communist party would have gained a fair number of new fans, but this situation would not be straightforward because of some risks for the party. In the region the Communists lost the pace at the start of the campaign — a week on the collection of signatures to pass the municipal filter, as well as the pace in agitation,» — said the analyst.

Kalyadin noted that in this situation the Communist party has serious risks of losing.

«And the party made the right choice. I think that between the authorities and the Communist party has developed an elitist arrangement, when everyone gets certain preferences for himself. And Ishchenko, and the Communist party received preferential treatment, despite the fact that, to date, have received political preferences, entrenched in such a complex from a political point of view of the region», — said the analyst.

According to him, at the same time, given protestest vote in the September elections, a new election second round, and Kozhemyako will have to actively work to win.

The Communist party assessed their capabilities

«The Communists may be interpreted differently by the decision. But really a regional cell of party to assess their capabilities in preparation for the elections. The result of the last election in September is the result of a protest vote, he was high and unexpected for everyone, even for Communists. Now the political situation in the region changed to the position of acting Governor came Oleg Kozhemyako, in addition, these elections have been many opposition parties and opposition-minded voters stretched between these candidates,» said RIA Novosti political analyst and Director of consulting center «Expert Group» Pavel Nalivaiko.

According to him, the chance to repeat the success of last September’s elections, or to even second place in the December elections, the Communist party is small. Nalivaiko noted that in this case the regional branch of the party has shown itself as a visionary, and now they have a high chance to build a normal relationship with the new government.

The analyst also added that the regional split within the cell, which is discussed in social networks, could never be the reason for the decision on non candidate. «Problems in the Department there for several years, there two or three wings, but it was not the cause, because in the right moment, they can always consolidate that showed us the results of the elections in September,» — said Nalyvaichenko.

Contribution to the victory of your opponent

According to the analyst of the Centre for social innovation «Black cube» Natalia Kolomeitseva, the decision of the regional branch of the Communist party of the participation in elections of the Governor of Primorye on December 16 is «an ugly act against the voters who supported Ishchenko in September», and the possible contribution of the Communist party in the victory of the acting Governor of the region Oleg Kozhemyako.

«The final victory I would not call it, because now the team’s acting head of the region next month have to deal with «anonymous» protest voters, which can be expressed in neabore Kozhemyako 50% of the votes in the first round. And in the second round if it takes place, the opponent of the incumbent acting will once again be the battery of protest in the region, what happened in Primorye in the previous elections on 16 September,» — told RIA Novosti Kolomeytseva.

According to her, while for team Kozhemyako Ishchenko non-participation in electoral race is a pretty significant achievement, given the high ratings protest the Communist candidate who had all the chances to win in December.

Last week the electoral Commission began receiving documents for the nomination of candidates for participation in new elections of the head region, which will be held on December 16.

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